Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Romero (Formosa)


	Sol de América de Formosa		Bartolomé Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.75	3.80
	2	2.72	3.95
	2	2.91	4.14
	2.04	2.81	4.13	Watch
	1.97	2.55	4.2
	2.06	2.9	4.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)	4.07 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América de Formosa
45.1%

Draw
32.7%

Bartolomé Mitre
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 11. Cabanas J. 9. Di Martino B. 10. Jimenez S. 4. Lopez Alba R. 7. Mendoza F. M. 6. Ojeda M. 2. Pardo F. 3. Pietkiewicz F. 8. Romero J.	1. Bachke G. (G) 10. Arraya L. 4. Arregui L. 3. Canzoniero L. 8. Cerdan R. 2. Espindola M. 7. Esquivel L. 11. Golomba N. 9. Klusener A. 6. Rodriguez R. 5. Sarza K.
Substitutes
12. Arce L. M. (G) 13. Medeiro E. 19. Medina A. 16. Mendoza M. 17. Olmedo F. 18. Paredes F. 14. Pena M. 20. Vega F. 15. Villasanti A.	17. Benitez E. 18. Caceres J. 20. Cerdan R. 16. Colman M. 19. Ibarra I. 15. Morales L. 13. Sotelo L. 12. Uliambre Ruiz Diaz L. G. (G) 14. Zarza J.

Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Sol de América have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bartolomé Mitre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sol de América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sol de América has had a series of away games.

Sol de América could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sol de América de Formosa - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Boca Unidos	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWW
- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0
11.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0
03.08.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:1
05.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sol de América de Formosa	1:1
04.05.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:1

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