Match Info

I Lyga - Round 1

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.50
	2.60	3.35	2.35
	2.36	3.40	2.60
	2.40	3.36	2.64	Watch
	2.30	3.15	2.45
	2.39	3.24	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.6)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.52 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
37.2%

Draw
27.2%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.6%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atmosfera will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). BE1 NFA will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Garliava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTWT
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
26.06.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Dainava Alytus - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
14.09.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:3
10.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:4
17.08.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
26.06.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0
15.10.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0
31.05.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2

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