Match Info

I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LNK
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Dainava Alytus		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.6	2.05	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.15
	3.03	3.46	2.11	Watch
	2.88	3.2	2.15
	2.93	3.8	2.06
	2.91	3.66	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.25)	3.53 ↑ (3.33)	2.09 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
31%

Draw
25.7%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dainava Alytus's form might have worsened.

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BE1 NFA Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dainava Alytus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dainava Alytus - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).

Dainava is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

BE1 NFA is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dainava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

BE1 NFA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	Klaipedos FM - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
15.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
28.04.26	Viltis Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
15.05.26	Transinvest 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - FA Šiauliai B	5:2 ✺
02.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
10.07.22	Dainava Alytus - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1
25.09.18	Dainava Alytus - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
11.05.18	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Dainava Alytus	2:2

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