Match Info

I Lyga - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Mažeikių stadionas - artificial grass (Mazeikiai)


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Ekranas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.7
				Watch
	1.84	3.92	3.25
				Watch
	1.88	3.8	3.29
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)	3.77 ↓ (3.9)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
49.8%

Draw
24%

Ekranas
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

19.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ekranas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atmosfera Mažeikiai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juska L. (G) 4. Aderounmu K. 15. Bawa M. 17. Fujiyoshi M. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 7. Horikoshi T. 5. Kazbaras M. 23. Mantinis K. 19. Oh Se-Sim 6. Pilipavicius A. 20. Srederis N.	25. Janusas O. (G) 21. Abramavicius E. 19. Faisal Y. 20. Fuseini S. 8. Jokubonis R. (C) 11. Kirejevas A. 6. Mulevicius N. 3. Norgela A. 10. Oliveros M. 5. Orujov D. 14. Ustinovic M.
Substitutes
33. Lopez K. (G) 22. Moro I. 47. Najulis E. 9. Najulis K. 2. Stasys M.	9. Coulibaly P. A. 4. Jonaitis I. 17. Juska A. 18. Kishitani K. 27. Lesnikauskas M. 15. Malatokas M. 7. Stakenas T. 12. Zvinys P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Fuseini S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Kazbaras M. ⚽,
42', Oh Se-Sim ↓, Moro I. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Kirejevas A. ↓, Coulibaly P. A. ↑,
52', Fuseini S. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Horikoshi T. ⚽,
56', Coulibaly P. A. 🟨,
58', 3 - 0, Horikoshi T. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Fujiyoshi M. ⚽,
66', Stasys M. 🟨,
74', 5 - 0, ⚽,
82', 🟥,
82', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Atmosfera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ekranas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atmosfera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atmosfera could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
17.06.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLT
- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
18.06.25	Ekranas - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tauras Tauragė - Ekranas	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	5:1 ✺
16.05.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Ekranas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
19.10.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas	0:1
02.06.24	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:3
21.10.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas	1:4
18.06.22	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0

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