Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.25	2.15
	2.85	3.35	2.12
	2.94	3.26	2.15
	2.97	3.36	2.18	Watch
	2.90	3.20	2.12
	2.90	3.62	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.67)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
31%

Draw
27%

Tauras Tauragė
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tauras Tauragė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', (Penalty Awarded),
83', (Penalty Awarded),
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Atmosfera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tauras has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tauras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atmosfera has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
28.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0
04.10.25	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:0
31.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:1
14.09.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:2
27.04.24	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:1

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