The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atmosfera Mažeikiai 43.6%
Draw 26.6%
Jonava 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.7%
24.2%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
23.5%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atmosfera Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.
Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonava's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atmosfera Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 1.
In recent outings, Atmosfera has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Jonava is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atmosfera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Atmosfera is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Atmosfera has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:20 (averaging 1.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atmosfera against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:8 goals (averaging 1:2.7 per game).
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