Match Info

I Lyga - Round 13

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mažeikių stadionas - artificial grass (Mazeikiai)


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Jonava

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.82	3.46	3.63
				Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.75
	1.8	3.54	3.83
	2.07	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	3.59 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
48.8%

Draw
25.9%

Jonava
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atmosfera Mažeikiai's performance.

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jonava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atmosfera Mažeikiai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jonava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atmosfera will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atmosfera Mažeikiai will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juska L. (G) 4. Aderounmu K. 15. Bawa M. 17. Fujiyoshi M. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 7. Horikoshi T. 5. Kazbaras M. 23. Mantinis K. 19. Oh Se-Sim 6. Pilipavicius A.	1. Sivickas V. (G) 67. Benevicius N. 12. Cerkauskas L. 17. Dedura M. 44. Dombrauskis T. 99. Ganusauskas M. 19. Kabosius A. 21. Nikonovas G. 6. Olsauskas K. 9. Raginis A. 23. Rocys A. (C)
Substitutes
33. Lopez K. (G) 22. Moro I. 9. Najulis K. 18. Pucekas T. 20. Srederis N. 2. Stasys M. 71. Ugen L.	8. Beniusis R. 16. Matuzas M. (G) 7. Mironcikas M. 96. Neverdauskas M. 5. Rackus A. 70. Rusnius R. 2. Sungaila V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Cerkauskas L. 🟨,
37', Benevicius N. 🟨,
38', Olsauskas K. 🟨,
43', Pilipavicius A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Horikoshi T. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atmosfera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 1.3:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.25	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLTL
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.25	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Nevėžis - Jonava	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Jonava - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
10.09.21	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava	2:5
14.05.21	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	7:0
02.08.20	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava	1:2
06.07.19	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	4:2

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