Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Jonava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.50	3.85	1.58
	5.07	3.91	1.65
	4.95	3.77	1.60	Watch
	5.00	3.85	1.50
	4.12	4.32	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.42)	3.94 ↑ (3.75)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
19.4%

Draw
23.2%

Jonava
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.3%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.2%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Hegelmann 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jonava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Jonava is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hegelmann 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	6:1 ✺
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
15.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLL
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
23.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava	1:2
26.04.25	Jonava - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1

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