The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 47.2%
Draw 24.5%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
22.5%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
21.5%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris Vilnius 2's form might have worsened.
Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hegelmann Litauen 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Žalgiris Vilnius 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hegelmann Litauen 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Žalgiris 2 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Hegelmann 2 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hegelmann 2: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Bicka K. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Stelmokas N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)
Žalgiris 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Hegelmann 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Žalgiris 2 is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
Watch
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