Match Info

I Lyga - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	BFA Vilnius		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.60	6.25
	1.36	4.55	6.3
	1.33	4.45	5.6
	1.39	4.58	6.45	Watch
	1.36	4.00	7.00
	1.41	4.5	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.45 ↓ (4.5)	6.26 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
65.5%

Draw
20.1%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.9%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Hegelmann Litauen 2 aligns with the current prediction.

BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

BFA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hegelmann 2 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hegelmann 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, BFA is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, BFA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.26	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:4 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
12.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	6:1 ✺
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
15.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.25	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:0
04.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2
28.09.24	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2
13.05.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:0

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