Match Info

I Lyga - Round 22

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Nevėžis		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.5	Watch
	1.78	3.75	3.55	Watch
	2.44	3.51	2.44
	2.12	3.52	3.02	Watch
	1.73	4.1	3.4
	1.86	3.78	3.38
	1.58	3.93	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.62)	3.73 ↓ (4.05)	3.15 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
46.5%

Draw
24.5%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

17.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevėžis's form might have worsened.

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BE1 NFA Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Urbonas E. (G) 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 32. Shaibu V. 4. Soroka R. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.	1. Mestrovic B. (G) 26. Adah J. 13. Akpan U. W. 23. Gudaitis T. 9. Gutauskas T. 14. Jansonas D. 10. Mamis T. 8. Sluta D. (C) 4. Stankus P. 2. Virbalas I. 18. Ziedelis J.
Substitutes
5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 25. Gaizutis D. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 47. Veldman M.	51. Akakpo K. J. 29. Ampofo J. 11. Barkauskas G. 52. Brykov S. 25. Ostapenko K. (G) 54. Pavlovskij N. 7. Rakauskas J. 21. Shvedchenko R. 50. Stapulionis J. 77. Starkus E. (G) 27. Trumpa E. 17. Turcinskas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟥,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 2.

Recent form of Nevėžis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

BE1 NFA has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Nevėžis is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nevėžis - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 55.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.25	Nevėžis - Transinvest	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	0:4 ✺
08.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Transinvest	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	1:3
26.10.24	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2
30.07.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	3:1
04.10.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	1:1
26.05.23	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:2
05.08.22	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
05.04.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	0:0

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