Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Nevėžis		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.47
	3.35	3.65	1.85
	3.45	3.47	2
	6.95	5.33	1.32	Watch
	3.38	3.99	1.88	Watch
	5.4	4.1	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (5.41)	4.11 ↑ (4.08)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
20.5%

Draw
23%

Babrungas Plungė
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

22.4%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

21.5%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Babrungas Plungė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nevėžis (votes: 1 - 50%). Babrungas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Urbonas E. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 4. Soroka R. 18. Tymoshenko I. 47. Veldman M. 35. Zuperka R. A.	99. Kublickas D. (G) 55. Agyemang E. 6. Ajayi S. B. 14. Budrys T. (C) 22. Cepkauskas L. 5. Latakas A. 8. Mantinis K. 9. Pedro Bahia 10. Robinho 11. Skirmantas M. 18. Tabata S.
Substitutes
9. Bekima B. 7. Gaizutis D. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E.	33. Baguzas E. 3. Barusas A. 7. Borja P. 4. Butkus D. 19. Dalha M. 1. Maltos (G) 24. Slekonis J. 77. Ukrinas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Babrungas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Babrungas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.25	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nevėžis - Transinvest	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
12.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Džiugas Telšiai	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.05.25	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	3:2
04.10.24	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	3:2
17.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1
29.09.23	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:2
12.05.23	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
09.09.22	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	2:1
13.05.22	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1

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