Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Peristeri Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Usa	SportPlus


	Atromitos Athens		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.96	Watch
	4.4	3.35	1.88	Watch
	4.13	3.38	2.02
	4.43	3.45	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.95
	4.04	3.34	1.93	Watch
	4.25	3.33	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (6.07)	3.31 ↓ (3.48)	1.92 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atromitos Athens
22.6%

Draw
28.4%

Panathinaikos
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

26.7%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

25.5%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atromitos Athens's performance.

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panathinaikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atromitos Athens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atromitos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atromitos (votes: 2 - 50%). Panathinaikos (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Choutetsiotis L. (C) 12. Mountes M. 44. Tsakmakis D. 70. Mansur 21. Uronen J. 92. Moutoussamy S. 5. Tsingaras T. 11. Jubitana D. 8. Michorl P. 32. Baku M. 19. Tsantilas P.	40. Lafont A. (C) 27. Kotsiras G. 15. Ingason S. I. 5. Touba A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 39. Bokos I. G. 11. Bakasetas A. 6. Siopis M. 9. Zaroury A. 72. Pantovic M. 7. Tetteh A.
Substitutes
20. Ampartzidis S. 30. Athanasiou V. (G) 6. Karamanis A. 24. Mitoglou G. 7. Ozegovic O. 10. Palmezano B. 16. Papadopoulos G. 17. Quini 99. Tzovaras G. 9. van Weert T. 77. Zuber S.	12. Chaves L. (G) 4. Chirivella P. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 21. Jedvaj T. 3. Katris G. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 14. Palmer-Brown E. 23. Pantelidis P. 28. Pellistri F. 8. Sanches R. 19. Swiderski K. 20. Taborda V.
Coaches
Kerkez D.	Benitez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Lafont A. 🟨,
13', Michorl P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bokos I. G. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
46', Pantovic M. ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
58', Michorl P. ↓, Zuber S. ↑,
64', Jubitana D. 🟨,
70', Tsantilas P. ↓, Ozegovic O. ↑,
70', Jubitana D. ↓, Tzovaras G. ↑,
81', Chirivella P. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
81', Tetteh A. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
90+2', Tzovaras G. 🟨,
90+3', Kotsiras G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atromitos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.

There will not play in Atromitos: Stavropoulos D. (Yellow Cards) Tsiloulis S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C. (Thigh Injury) Djuricic F. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 0.9:1.6).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panathinaikos: 29.75% Atromitos: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12:2	10	15
12	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	5:9	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League
19.01.26	Volos - Atromitos Athens	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Atromitos Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Greek Cup
06.01.26	PAOK - Atromitos Athens	2:1 penalties ✺
Greek Super League
21.12.25	AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WLLTW
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.01.26	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	4:0 ✺
Greek Cup
14.01.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
11.01.26	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
29.10.25	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2
Greek Super League
05.10.25	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:0
09.03.25	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:1
Greek Cup
08.01.25	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	2:1
04.12.24	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2
Greek Super League
01.12.24	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:1
Greek Cup
31.01.24	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	0:2

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