Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis (Athens)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ionikos Nikaias		OFI

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.8	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.85	3.05	2.48
	2.87	2.86	2.9
	2.7	2.8	2.7
	2.85	2.97	2.68	Watch
	2.85	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (2.96)	2.71 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ionikos Nikaias
33.5%

Draw
31.8%

OFI
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

31.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ionikos Nikaias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

OFI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFI than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	61.1%	33.3%

Ionikos Nikaias - OFI Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ionikos will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). OFI will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).

Ionikos is Super League (Relegation Group)

OFI is Super League (Relegation Group)

Ionikos has the most likely position - 12 (44.71%), has project points - 28, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (19%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

OFI has the most likely position - 10 (24.14%), has project points - 37, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 24, small importance 19, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ionikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ionikos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League
19.02.23	Panetolikos - Ionikos Nikaias	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	PAS Giannina - Ionikos Nikaias	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Ionikos Nikaias - Aris	1:0 ✺
30.01.23	Lamia - Ionikos Nikaias	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Ionikos Nikaias - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LTWWL
- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
20.02.23	OFI - Aris	0:3 ✺
13.02.23	Lamia - OFI	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	OFI - PAS Giannina	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.12.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	7:0
Greek Super League
05.11.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	0:2
19.03.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	2:3
19.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - OFI	0:0
28.11.21	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	2:1

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