Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Atromitos Athens		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.35
	7.7	4.45	1.37
	6.33	4.43	1.48
	6.6	4.27	1.46	Watch
	6.2	4.3	1.44
	6.52	4.15	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.81 ↓ (7.6)	4.32 ↓ (4.38)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atromitos Athens
13.6%

Draw
21.5%

AEK Athens
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

21.4%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

20.8%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 11th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 0.

Atromitos is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

AEK is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, AEK enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atromitos has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:35 (averaging 0.7:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atromitos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 3:14 goals (averaging 0.3:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Atromitos: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	4	2	0	16:3	13	14
12	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	5:9	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League
10.10.26	Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Atromitos Athens - AE Kifisia	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
16.09.26	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
12.09.26	Iraklis - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Atromitos Athens - Kalamata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
10.10.26	AEK Athens - OFI	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Volos - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.26	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	8:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	AEK Athens - LASK Linz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
15.03.26	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	2:2
07.12.25	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	4:1
15.02.25	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	2:1
03.11.24	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	0:1
21.01.24	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	0:5
28.09.23	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	2:1
08.03.23	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	0:1

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