Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Aubagne		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.85	3	2.25
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.2	3.21	2.35
	3.04	3.14	2.27
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.07	3.16	2.27	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)	3.14 (3.14)	2.28 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
30.4%

Draw
29.2%

Boulogne
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Aubagne - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aubagne will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gil J. (G) 23. Mouton E. 19. Karamoko S. 24. Nehari M. 12. M'Dahoma K. 13. Rocchia C. 10. Benhattab Y. 21. Ndiaye O. 5. Rouai M. 34. El Kaddouri B. 9. Nsimba S.	16. Pandor Y. (G) 12. Boyer J. 15. Pinot A. 5. Zohore N. 26. Thiam D. 11. Averlant T. 8. Vercruysse J. 20. Toure H. 21. Hbouch A. 9. Rambaud T. 24. Epailly T.
Substitutes
18. Carbonero T. 3. Khatir F. 4. Khetir C. 16. Lavallee L. (G) 7. Sanghare S.	27. Baalla A. 14. Bultel J. 40. Delins V. (G) 17. Fatou C. 19. Rodrigues A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Nsimba S. ⚽, Benhattab Y. (A),
21', Karamoko S. 🟨,
27', Mouton E. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Nsimba S. ⚽, Ndiaye O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Rocchia C. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Khetir C. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches Aubagne is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boulogne is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boulogne will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
27.09.24	Dijon - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Aubagne - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Villefranche - Aubagne	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Aubagne - Versailles	3:3 ✺
30.08.24	Concarneau - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWTT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
27.09.24	Boulogne - Nancy	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Boulogne - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
30.08.24	Boulogne - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWT

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