The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dijon 60.5%
Draw 24.7%
Aubagne 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
23.7%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
22.8%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Dijon - Aubagne Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aubagne will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 2. Diallo I. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 3. Khatir F. 7. Hamada B. 8. Bellon P. 18. Ndezi B. 14. Marie J. (C) 29. Ntamack A. 10. Barka Y.
30. Gil J. (G) 13. Abdallah M. 5. Chibani N. 26. Nehari M. (C) 15. Mimb Baheng R. 4. Diaby A. 17. Ndiaye O. 28. Bentoumi M. 34. El Kaddouri B. 7. Chaban K. 14. Mayilla E.
Substitutes
4. Barreto M. 21. Chouchane S. 22. Domingues J. 23. Lacroix L. 20. Vargas-Rios H.
19. Berrabha D. 10. Boudraa S. 27. Daou R. 12. M'Dahoma K. 18. Oudjani A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Nehari M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Barka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Delecroix P. ↓, Lacroix L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bellon P. 🟨,
54', Ndiaye O. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
57', Ntamack A. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
57', Bellon P. ↓, Domingues J. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Mayilla E. ⚽, El Kaddouri B. (A),
72', Hamada B. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
72', Ndezi B. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
74', Abdallah M. 🟨,
75', Mayilla E. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
83', Bentoumi M. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
84', Diouf W. 🟨,
84', Chaban K. 🟨,
87', Abdallah M. 🟨,
90', Barreto M. 🟨,
90', Mimb Baheng R. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Domingues J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 9).
Dijon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aubagne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Dijon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Dijon is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Dijon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.