Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - ROUND 9

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Kiwitea Street (Auckland)


	Auckland City		Melville United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.6	4.4
	1.47	4.35	4.1
	1.47	4.7	4.6
	1.52	4.97	5.09
	1.47	4.5	5.25
	1.45	4.8	5.1	Watch
	1.5	4.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.77)	4.69 ↑ (4)	4.76 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Auckland City
61.5%

Draw
19.4%

Melville United
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

22.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

22.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland City's performance.

Melville United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melville United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melville United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melville United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Auckland City - Melville United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Auckland City will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Melville will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland City: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final) and 5).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Auckland City is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Auckland City to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
19.11.22	Auckland City - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:3 ✺
04.11.22	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Auckland United - Auckland City	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Auckland City - Napier City Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Melville United
New Zealand National League
18.11.22	Melville United - Napier City Rovers	4:3 ✺
11.11.22	Miramar Rangers - Melville United	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Melville United - Birkenhead United	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Christchurch United - Melville United	2:5 ✺
21.10.22	Melville United - Cashmere Technical	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL

Auckland City - Melville United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide