Match Info

A-League - Round 20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)

Referee: Woods D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Auckland FC		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.46	4.45	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4.85	6.94
	1.43	4.85	7.06	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.52	4.62	6.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	4.59 ↑ (3.77)	6.44 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland FC
64.6%

Draw
20.7%

Perth Glory
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland FC's performance.

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Auckland FC - Perth Glory Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Perth (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Auckland FC will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Perth (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Woud M. (G) 17. Elliot C. 23. Hall D. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 15. De Vries F. (C) 27. Rogerson L. 7. Howieson C. 8. Gallegos L. F. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S. 10. May G.	29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. (C) 3. Sutton S. 27. Freney W. 8. Timmins C. 18. Tevere L. 7. Pennington N. 9. Kucharski J. 67. Colakovski S.
Substitutes
35. Bidois J. 22. Brimmer J. 77. Brook L. 14. Gillion L. 12. Hilton J. (G) 6. Verstraete L. 52. Vicelich L.	23. Didulica A. 24. Lebib A. 20. Ostler T. 16. Popovic G. 19. Risdon J. 22. Taggart A. 40. Warner R. (G)
Coaches
Corica S.	Griffiths A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Cosgrove S. ⚽,
28', Freney W. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Kaltack B. ⚽, Tevere L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Colakovski S. ⚽, Tevere L. (A),
58', Colakovski S. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Sutton M. (Own goal),
65', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
65', Howieson C. ↓, Verstraete L. ↑,
66', Rogerson L. ↓, Brook L. ↑,
67', Tevere L. ↓, Ostler T. ↑,
67', Kucharski J. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
83', Timmins C. ↓, Risdon J. ↑,
90', Colakovski S. ↓, Didulica A. ↑,
90', Freney W. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
90+4', Elliot C. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Auckland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Auckland is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Auckland: Sail O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) De Abreu G. (Yellow Cards) Lawrence T. (Foot Injury) O'Neill B. (Injury) Wales L. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Auckland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Auckland FC: 14.55% Perth Glory: 3.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Auckland FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
27.02.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC	0:5 ✺
17.02.26	Sydney - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Auckland FC - Sydney	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWL
- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
28.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
13.02.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
31.01.26	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	2:1
27.04.25	Auckland FC - Perth Glory	1:0
11.01.25	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	1:0

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