Match Info

A-League - Round 19

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Brisbane Roar		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.3
	1.98	3.35	3.7	Watch
	2.07	3.39	4.05
	2.14	3.4	3.51	Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	2	3.49	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)	3.74 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
46.6%

Draw
28%

Perth Glory
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Perth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 50%). Perth (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 3. Valkanis D. 5. Lode M. 23. McGarry J. 31. Maieroni N. 9. Long Ch. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 8. Klein S. 16. Dench M. 25. D'Agostino N.	29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. (C) 3. Sutton S. 18. Tevere L. 39. De Abreu G. 8. Timmins C. 7. Pennington N. 9. Kucharski J. 67. Colakovski S.
Substitutes
7. Brazete J. 11. Freke M. (G) 44. Lauton J. 6. Ludwik A. 19. Ruhs M. 17. Vidic J. 10. Vrakas G.	25. Despotovski S. 24. Lebib A. 20. Ostler T. 16. Popovic G. 19. Risdon J. 22. Taggart A. 40. Warner R. (G)
Coaches
Valkanis M.	Griffiths A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Long Ch. ⚽, O'Shea J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Salas Y. (Own goal),
25', Maieroni N. 🟨,
31', De Abreu G. 🟨,
32', Long Ch. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', D'Agostino N. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
62', Kucharski J. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
65', Dench M. ↓, Brazete J. ↑,
65', Colakovski S. ↓, Popovic G. ↑,
74', Tevere L. ↓, Ostler T. ↑,
75', Timmins C. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
85', Brazete J. 🟨,
90+1', Vidic J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.

Brisbane has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Perth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brisbane is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Hore H. (Inactive) O'Shea J. (Inactive) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) O'Neill B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brisbane: D'Agostino N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Perth Glory: 3.3% Brisbane Roar: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
21.02.26	Sydney - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
20.02.26	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
13.02.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Perth Glory - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
16.01.26	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	1:2
15.03.25	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	1:3
21.12.24	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	0:1
Australian Cup
23.07.24	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	2:4
Australian A-League
17.02.24	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	3:2
25.11.23	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	2:1
26.02.23	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	2:1

Upcoming Matches