Match Info

LATVIA: OPTIBET VIRSLIGA - ROUND 35

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)


	Auda Riga		Spartaks

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.9
	1.7	3.75	3.75
	1.69	3.75	3.95
	1.68	3.81	3.89
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.86	3.95
	1.58	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	3.8 ↓ (4)	4.02 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
53.8%

Draw
23.8%

Spartaks
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Auda Riga - Spartaks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Auda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spartaks is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spartaks could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Auda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Auda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Auda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
29.10.22	Riga - Auda Riga	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
19.10.22	Auda Riga - RFS	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
15.10.22	Valmiera - Auda Riga	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Auda Riga - RFS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWLT
- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
29.10.22	Spartaks - Metta	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Super Nova - Spartaks	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Spartaks - Riga	1:3 ✺
01.10.22	Liepāja - Spartaks	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
28.08.22	Spartaks - Auda Riga	0:1
17.06.22	Auda Riga - Spartaks	5:0
24.04.22	Spartaks - Auda Riga	1:2

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