The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Valmiera 47.7%
Draw 26%
Auda Riga 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
26.3%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
26.1%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmiera's performance.
Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valmiera that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valmiera - Auda Riga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Oss D. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 36. Kragliks R. 5. Alekseiciks K. 17. Duke C. 10. Vapne L. 34. Korobenko A. 14. Varslavans R. 22. Diop M. 24. Ndoye A. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. (C)
12. Zviedris K. (C) 2. Hrvoj T. 15. Ouedraogo M. 37. Bosancic P. 22. Ogunji O. 7. Clemente M. 70. Talla M. 11. Ogunniyi A. 14. Saveljevs A. 17. Mane E. H. 25. Taiwo A.
Substitutes
29. Bahamboula J. 18. Dusalijevs N. 19. Gueye D. 7. Gustavo 8. Kawasaki S. 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 21. Penkevics K. 4. Veips R.
77. Camara O. 9. Diagne M. 26. Isajevs V. 6. Karklins K. 79. Kone I. 16. Lucas Ramos 71. Rubenis O. 1. Sturins R. (G) 49. Tavares B.
Coaches
Kalnins G.
Zeljkovic Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Ndoye A. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
34', Mane E. H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Taiwo A. ⚽, Hrvoj T. (A),
41', Varslavans R. 🟨,
44', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
45+2', Oss D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mane E. H. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
46', Varslavans R. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
46', Porsan-Clemente J. ↓, Dusalijevs N. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Saveljevs A. ⚽, Talla M. (A),
70', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
70', Diop M. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
77', Saveljevs A. 🟨,
78', Ndoye A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Alekseiciks K. ⚽, Bahamboula J. (A),
79', Saveljevs A. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
79', Talla M. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
84', Gueye D. 🟨,
84', Vapne L. ↓, Veips R. ↑,
87', Clemente M. ↓, Diagne M. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Taiwo A. ⚽, Ogunji O. (A),
90+2', Diagne M. 🟨,
90+4', Gueye D. 🟥,
90+4', Kone I. 🟨,
90+4', Bahamboula J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 2.
Valmiera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Auda in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Valmiera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Valmiera will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.