Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Lavello		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.57	1.67
	4.54	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.9)	3.54 ↓ (4.2)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
20.6%

Draw
25.7%

Audace Cerignola
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

21.8%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audace Cerignola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audace Cerignola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Lavello is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Audace Cerignola is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lavello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lavello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.03.22	Gravina - Lavello	2:0 ✺
02.03.22	Rotonda - Lavello	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Casarano - Lavello	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Lavello - Bisceglie	2:0 ✺
16.02.22	Nola - Lavello	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.03.22	Nardo - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Gladiator	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Bisceglie - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Gravina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	2:1
28.03.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	3:0
22.11.20	Lavello - Audace Cerignola	0:0

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