Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Audace Cerignola		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.20	2.55
	2.62	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.84	3.4	2.49
	2.48	3.23	2.67	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.45
	2.8	3.32	2.44	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.3)	3.25 ↑ (3.21)	2.51 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
35%

Draw
28.4%

Casertana
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casertana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casertana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Audace Cerignola - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Viola A. (G) 44. Miranda K. 23. Gasbarro A. (C) 55. Cocorocchio M. 27. Boccadamo A. 8. Moreso O. 58. Cretella C. 4. Vitale G. 7. Vinciguerra A. 10. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.	1. De Lucia V. (C) 18. Oukhadda S. 24. Belli F. 4. Kontek I. 17. Caporale A. 21. Vezzoni F. 5. Mehic D. 16. Pezzella S. 32. Di Tacchio F. 9. Castelli D. 10. Manconi J.
Substitutes
21. Casarosa M. 45. Cilenti A. 18. Guaragna C. 19. Iorio A. 2. Kurti A. 5. Martinelli L. 73. Meli M. 20. Nanula M. 14. Padula C. 33. Perlingieri M. 77. Pinotti M. 24. Romano A. 68. Sellaf M. 37. Silvestro A. 1. Vailati A. (G)	51. Arzillo V. 20. Bentivegna A. 19. Colley M. 11. Favale G. 8. Girelli S. 99. Henin G. 12. Luca S. (G) 22. Magro F. (G) 23. Martino P. 7. Piovanello E. 33. Rocchi G. 27. Sandri M.
Coaches
Catalano R.	Espinal V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Cretella C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Pezzella S. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
61', Mehic D. ↓, Martino P. ↑,
68', Vezzoni F. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
71', D'Orazio L. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
71', Vinciguerra A. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
77', Moreso O. ↓, Sellaf M. ↑,
80', Castelli D. ↓, Colley M. ↑,
80', Manconi J. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
88', Cretella C. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
88', Miranda K. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
89', Perlingieri M. 🟨,
90+3', Caporale A. 🟨,
90+4', Kontek I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 1.

Audace Cerignola has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Casertana is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Audace Cerignola could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Audace Cerignola has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Audace Cerignola against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
5	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Audace Cerignola - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Casertana - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Casertana - Altamura	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inter U23 - Casertana	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Casertana - Scafatese	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Savoia - Casertana	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Casertana - Barletta	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.04.26	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	4:1
07.12.25	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	1:1
10.02.25	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	0:1
29.09.24	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
07.03.24	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	1:1
29.10.23	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	2:4

Audace Cerignola - Casertana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide