Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Casertana		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.14	2.94	3.29
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.12	3.34	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.25)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	3.17 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
42.9%

Draw
28.6%

Nocerina
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

18.9%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nocerina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casertana - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Casertana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nocerina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nocerina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Casertana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casertana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Gravina - Casertana	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Casertana - Nardo	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
13.02.22	Casertana - Bisceglie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.03.22	Città di Brindisi - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Nocerina - San Giorgio	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Nardo - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Nocerina - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Gravina - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
03.11.21	Nocerina - Casertana	1:3

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