Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Audax Italiano		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.75
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.46	3.47	2.91
	2.27	3.31	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.75
	2.25	3.46	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	3.36 ↑ (3.27)	2.98 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
40.6%

Draw
27.9%

Unión Española
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Audax Italiano - Unión Española Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Audax Italiano (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Audax Italiano will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Audax Italiano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Audax Italiano (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 6. Guiffrey G. 13. Ferrario E. 22. Espejo J. 23. Matus E. 8. Collao M. (C) 10. Valencia Rossel L. 7. Guajardo P. 17. Riveros L. 24. Orellana N. 27. Fuentes M.	25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 3. Vidal V. 21. Diaz N. 19. Vejar B. 5. Nadruz A. 10. Uribe A. 14. Nunez I. 20. Marin M. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 23. Jeraldino I. 24. Norambuena G.
Substitutes
29. Collao G. (G) 33. Gonzalez A. 3. Munoz C. 11. Riep A. 2. Rojas Munoz O. J. 16. Sandoval Molina M. 19. Troyansky F.	8. Carvallo U. B. A. 18. Espinoza F. 6. Jauregui B. 11. Montes C. 1. Parra M. (G) 13. Pereira S. 9. Suarez M.
Coaches
Ribera J.	Sierra Jose L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Fuentes M. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
22', Matus E. 🟨,
29', Nadruz A. 🟨,
30', Jeraldino I. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Riveros L. ⚽, Valencia Rossel L. (A),
65', Uribe A. 🟥,
65', Jauregui B. 🟨,
72', Jauregui B. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
73', Espejo J. 🟨,
75', Riveros L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
75', Collao M. ↓, Sandoval Molina M. ↑,
78', Ahumada T. 🟨,
79', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
86', Orellana N. 🟨,
88', Ferrario E. 🟨,
90+1', Guajardo P. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
90+1', Riep A. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
90+3', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Matus E. (A),
90+9', Gonzalez A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Audax Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Unión Española have a series of home games.

Audax Italiano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:24 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Audax Italiano won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
12.04.25	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Deportes Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.25	Coquimbo Unido - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.25	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLTT
- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.25	Unión Española - Ñublense	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Unión Española - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Unión Española - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	GVCD San José - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	0:0
06.02.25	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	3:1
Chilean Primera Division
11.08.24	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	1:1
09.03.24	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	3:0
29.07.23	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	3:0
09.02.23	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	1:1
28.08.22	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	2:3

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