Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 22

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Concepción		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.60
	1.98	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.43	3.95
	1.99	3.4	3.73	Watch
	1.99	3.35	3.8
	1.92	3.25	3.72	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
46.8%

Draw
28.1%

Audax Italiano
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Deportes Concepción - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Concepción: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportes Concepción will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 31. Fuentes N. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 23. Riquelme C. 18. Rodriguez Y. 8. Martinez F. 16. Sandoval M. 20. Henriquez J. 30. Espinoza E. 32. Larrivey J. (C)	1. Ahumada T. (G) 35. Rebolledo R. 13. Ferrario E. 4. Pina D. 3. Salomoni F. 7. Guajardo P. 28. Mateos F. (C) 19. Pinares C. 21. Chiaverano G. 11. Troyansky F. 9. Coelho D.
Substitutes
3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 19. Jara A. 15. Montecinos J. 7. Romero F. 29. Varas D. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	8. Collao M. 27. Fuentes M. 25. Garrido P. (G) 17. Loyola F. 29. Ortiz M. 22. Pizarro D. 6. Sandoval M. 30. Uribe A. 2. Zenteno V.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Graff P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Pinares C. ⚽, Coelho D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez F. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
46', Fuentes N. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
46', Mateos F. ↓, Collao M. ↑,
56', Henriquez J. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
64', Guajardo P. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
68', Sandoval M. 🟨,
69', Espinoza E. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
69', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
74', Grillo F. 🟥,
76', Montecinos J. 🟨,
77', Troyansky F. 🟨,
84', Troyansky F. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
90+3', Coelho D. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
90+5', Jara A. 🟨,

Preview

Deportes Concepción has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Audax Italiano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportes Concepción might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31
12	A. Italiano	23	7	7	9	26:31	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
29.08.26	Ñublense - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Cobresal - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WTWWW
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
30.08.26	Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano	5:1 ✺
21.08.26	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
10.08.26	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
13.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	3:0
Chilean Cup
07.05.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	2:1
06.04.25	Deportes Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:0

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