Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	17:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	12:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Sports 1
Austria	17:30	Laola1
Belgium	17:30	Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	18:30	Diema Sport 3
Canada	11:30	fubo Sports Network
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	17:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	17:30	Arena 4
Iceland	15:30	Viaplay
Italy	17:30	Sky Sport MIX
Malta	17:30	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	09:30	Disney+, FOX One
Mongolia	23:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
Norway	17:30	Viaplay
Peru	10:30	Disney+
Poland	17:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	16:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	18:30	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	17:30	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	17:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	17:30	Sport TV1
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay
Turkey	18:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	18:30	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	16:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Usa	11:30	ESPN+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+
International	15:30	OneFootball TV


	Augsburg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.90	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.95
	2.18	3.45	3.10	Watch
	2.37	3.57	3.15
	2.24	3.66	3.06	Watch
	2.30	3.50	3.05
	2.38	3.62	3.00	Watch
	2.36	3.60	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
41.6%

Draw
26.8%

Schalke 04
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	20%	15%

Augsburg - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Schalke will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Augsburg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 30. Kade A. 19. Fellhauer R. 11. Gregoritsch M.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. (C) 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 21. Ljubicic D. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 33. Becker V. 20. Adamu J. 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
6. Gouweleeuw J. 14. Keitel Y. 10. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 34. Mbuku N. 39. Ogundu U. 9. Ribeiro R. 37. Schnitzer T. 7. Seol Young-Woo	43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 29. Dina Ebimbe J. 10. Dzeko E. 8. Gosens R. 22. Muller K. (G) 13. Tanaka S. 38. Vozar L. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Baum M.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Kade A. (A),
22', Rieder F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Kurucay H. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
62', Adamu J. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
62', Becker V. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
62', Schallenberg R. 🟥,
76', Fellhauer R. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
76', Katic N. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
83', Rieder F. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
83', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
86', Aouchiche A. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
90', Brackelmann C. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
90+1', Wolf M. ↓, Seol Young-Woo ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Seol Young-Woo (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Recent performances by Augsburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schalke is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Breithaupt T. (Injury) Mounie S. (Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karaman K. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9
16	Schalke	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29% Schalke: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Augsburg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Leeds United - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Augsburg - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
05.08.26	Schwaz - Augsburg	0:15 ✺
30.07.26	Augsburg - Bournemouth	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL
- Schalke 04
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Hallescher - Schalke 04	2:5 AET ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Hessen Kassel - Schalke 04	0:5 ✺
25.07.26	Schalke 04 - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Kharkiv - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0
German Bundesliga
18.03.23	Augsburg - Schalke 04	1:1
02.10.22	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	2:3
Club Friendly
17.07.22	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	1:1
German Bundesliga
11.04.21	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	1:0
13.12.20	Augsburg - Schalke 04	2:2
24.05.20	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	0:3

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