Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport MIX
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	Augsburg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.90	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.95
	2.18	3.45	3.10	Watch
	2.37	3.57	3.15
	2.24	3.66	3.06	Watch
	2.30	3.50	3.05
	2.38	3.62	3.00	Watch
	2.36	3.60	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Augsburg
41.6%

Draw
26.8%

Schalke 04
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	20%	15%

Augsburg - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Schalke will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Augsburg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 30. Kade A. 19. Fellhauer R. 11. Gregoritsch M.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. (C) 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 21. Ljubicic D. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 33. Becker V. 20. Adamu J. 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
6. Gouweleeuw J. 14. Keitel Y. 10. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 34. Mbuku N. 39. Ogundu U. 9. Ribeiro R. 37. Schnitzer T. 7. Seol Young-Woo	43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 29. Dina Ebimbe J. 10. Dzeko E. 8. Gosens R. 22. Muller K. (G) 13. Tanaka S. 38. Vozar L. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Baum M.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Kade A. (A),
22', Rieder F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Kurucay H. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
62', Adamu J. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
62', Becker V. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
62', Schallenberg R. 🟥,
76', Fellhauer R. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
76', Katic N. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
83', Rieder F. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
83', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
86', Aouchiche A. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
90', Brackelmann C. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
90+1', Wolf M. ↓, Seol Young-Woo ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Seol Young-Woo (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Recent performances by Augsburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schalke is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Breithaupt T. (Injury) Mounie S. (Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karaman K. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Schalke: 0.32% Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	3:4	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Augsburg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Leeds United - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Augsburg - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
05.08.26	Schwaz - Augsburg	0:15 ✺
30.07.26	Augsburg - Bournemouth	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL
- Schalke 04
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Hallescher - Schalke 04	2:5 AET ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Hessen Kassel - Schalke 04	0:5 ✺
25.07.26	Schalke 04 - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Kharkiv - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0
German Bundesliga
18.03.23	Augsburg - Schalke 04	1:1
02.10.22	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	2:3
Club Friendly
17.07.22	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	1:1
German Bundesliga
11.04.21	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	1:0
13.12.20	Augsburg - Schalke 04	2:2
24.05.20	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	0:3

Upcoming Matches