The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 24.3%
Draw 24.1%
RB Leipzig 51.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.7%
23.9%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
23.7%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
27.3%
63.6%
Schalke 04 - RB Leipzig Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 35.2% โ 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Schalke (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Bundesliga (Relegation) and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Schalke (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by RB Leipzig have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Schalke may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Schalke has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, RB Leipzig is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Schalke has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:30 (averaging 0.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Schalke against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 4:16 goals (averaging 0.7:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
RB Leipzig
7
4
0
3
20:11
9
12
16
Schalke
7
1
3
3
4:7
-3
6
Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
RB Leipzig: 2.15% Schalke: 0.17%
Last Results with these Odds
RB Leipzig - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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