The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Augsburg 31.2%
Draw 24.9%
Freiburg 44%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
24.9%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
25%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Augsburg - Freiburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Freiburg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Augsburg (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Freiburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Freiburg holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Augsburg has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:40 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Augsburg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:16 goals (averaging 1.5:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Freiburg
7
4
1
2
16:9
7
13
9
Augsburg
7
2
3
2
17:13
4
9
Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
Freiburg: 0.75% Augsburg: 0.29%
Last Results with these Odds
Freiburg - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.