Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Augsburg II		Buchbach

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.85	2.62
	2.09	3.95	2.96
	2.17	3.74	2.71
	2.14	3.7	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.48)	3.81 ↓ (4.03)	2.77 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg II
42.6%

Draw
24.1%

Buchbach
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

22.6%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

21.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg II's performance.

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buchbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg II than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buchbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Augsburg II - Buchbach Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg II (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ivelj R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 2, Stossberger T. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Stossberger T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 3.

Augsburg II has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buchbach has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Augsburg II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Augsburg II has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:34. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg II won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augsburg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.10.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Augsburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Augsburg II - Hankofen-Hailing	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Augsburg II	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Ansbach - Augsburg II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWL
- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
10.10.25	Buchbach - Vilzing	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	Illertissen - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Ansbach - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Buchbach - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
02.05.25	Buchbach - Augsburg II	5:2
18.10.24	Augsburg II - Buchbach	4:3
28.04.24	Augsburg II - Buchbach	3:0
08.10.23	Buchbach - Augsburg II	2:1
03.12.22	Buchbach - Augsburg II	1:4
07.08.22	Augsburg II - Buchbach	1:3
03.05.22	Buchbach - Augsburg II	0:1

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