Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Illertissen		Buchbach

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.75	2.82
	2.19	3.94	2.83
	2.12	3.56	2.89
	2.08	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)	3.69 ↓ (3.71)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
43.2%

Draw
24.9%

Buchbach
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

24.6%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Buchbach have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Illertissen - Buchbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Milic D. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Heiland T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Cocic M. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Gerstmayer D. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Fofanah M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Buchbach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Illertissen has had a series of away games.

Illertissen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
27.09.25	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	2:5 ✺
23.09.25	Aubstadt - Illertissen	3:5 ✺
19.09.25	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Vilzing - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Memmingen - Illertissen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWL
- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
26.09.25	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Ansbach - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Buchbach - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
30.11.24	Buchbach - Illertissen	3:0
16.08.24	Illertissen - Buchbach	2:0
11.05.24	Illertissen - Buchbach	1:2
17.10.23	Buchbach - Illertissen	2:3
26.11.22	Illertissen - Buchbach	0:0
02.08.22	Buchbach - Illertissen	1:1
13.11.21	Buchbach - Illertissen	0:1

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