Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 17

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Vera R. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente Petroleros		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.40	3.50
	1.85	3.45	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.65	3.56
	1.93	3.67	3.65	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.45
	1.88	3.65	3.8	Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.96)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.62 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
48.9%

Draw
25.9%

Guabirá
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

25.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 27. Navarro D. 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 14. Urdininea C. 6. Rojas D. 59. Villavicencio J. 93. Willie 91. Alvarez G.	1. Ferrel M. (G) 16. Pablo Melgar 6. Anez C. (C) 21. Portillo M. 19. Flores J. 88. Ursino L. 40. Lujan P. 8. Moreno A. 91. Abrego V. 7. Peredo G. 99. Pedro
Substitutes
15. Bejarano J. 7. Cardozo R. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 99. Jeferson Carioca 5. Palma L. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 4. Rodriguez L. 50. Roni Santos 28. Soleto W. 12. Vera J. (G) 77. Zamora R.	18. Aguilera M. 13. Arauz J. (G) 28. Baigorria Y. 2. Barro J. 27. Corrales R. 33. Fernandez D. 11. Garzon S. 97. Gil S. 29. Masskooni N. 14. Parada J. 22. Tellez M.
Coaches
Grass J.	Eguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Anez C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torres S. ↓, Cardozo R. ↑,
46', Villavicencio J. ↓, Zamora R. ↑,
46', Alvarez G. ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Cristaldo G. ⚽,
58', Pedro ↓, Gil S. ↑,
58', Pablo Melgar ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
62', Navarro D. ↓, Soleto W. ↑,
65', Peredo G. 🟨,
69', Peredo G. ↓, Garzon S. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Flores J. (Own goal),
73', Anez C. 🟨,
76', Lujan P. ↓, Masskooni N. ↑,
76', Flores J. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
86', Willie ↓, Rocabado Concha R. E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.

Ind Petroleros is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guabirá is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Guabirá has had a series of home games.

Ind Petroleros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guabira	20	8	5	7	32:39	-7	29
10	Independiente	20	7	4	9	27:35	-8	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.08.26	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	5:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Aurora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 LWWWT
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.08.26	Guabirá - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.08.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	ABB - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Guabirá - Real Tomayapo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
10.04.26	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	2:2
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	0:1 penalties
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.12.25	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.08.25	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	3:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.06.25	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.05.25	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.10.24	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	1:2

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