Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 21

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lopez M. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	17:15	Entel Gol 56


	Aurora		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.10	3.90	Watch
	1.70	3.80	3.70
	1.70	3.55	3.80	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.30
	1.73	4.07	4.16	Watch
	1.58	3.40	4.25
	1.65	3.64	4.43	Watch
	1.72	3.85	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.77 ↓ (4.02)	4.06 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
53.8%

Draw
23.9%

Nacional Potosí
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Aurora - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cordano R. (G) 16. Barro L. 23. Huayhuata I. 22. Velazquez J. 70. Torrico J. 5. Amarilla A. 69. Terrazas A. 14. Sanchez H. 10. Ramallo R. (C) 8. Viviani L. 9. Rangel M.	23. Galindo P. (G) 34. Medina K. 5. Alvarez S. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 18. Azogue P. (C) 22. Hoyos D. 28. Pena S. 19. Alvarez W. 11. Tomianovic M.
Substitutes
32. Altamirano S. 18. Ferreira S. 11. Mojica H. 21. Ortiz M. 20. Pacheco A. 25. Rios A. 19. Sanchez E. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 7. Vaca H. 90. Velazco M. 4. Vidaurre I. 26. Villca D.	27. Abastoflor C. 1. Arauz E. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 21. Baldomar O. 14. Juan Batista 30. Martinez Y. 25. Orellana J. 7. Solis M. 9. Tobar T. 99. Villalba D. 29. Weslen Junior
Coaches
Diaz D.	Gutierrez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Terrazas A. (Penalty Awarded),
21', Azogue P. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Azogue P. ⚽, Torrico A. (A),
45+11', 1 - 2, Tomianovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+14', Barro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huayhuata I. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
46', Sanchez H. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
46', Rangel M. ↓, Mojica H. ↑,
59', Terrazas A. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
61', Pena S. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Ramallo R. ⚽,
69', Villalba D. 🟨,
73', Weslen Junior 🟨,
75', Mojica H. 🟨,
79', Torrico J. 🟨,
82', Hoyos D. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
82', Weslen Junior ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
89', Nunez M. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
89', Tomianovic M. ↓, Juan Batista ↑,
89', Mojica H. ↓, Velazco M. ↑,
90+4', Juan Batista 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1.

Aurora is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Nacional Potosí have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nacional Potosí could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Aurora carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Aurora in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:31 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aurora	23	8	10	5	34:30	4	34
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35:31	4	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Copa Pacena
06.10.26	Aurora - ABB	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Real Potosí - Aurora	1:1 ✺
29.09.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:2 ✺
25.09.26	ABB - Aurora	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Aurora - Universitario de Vinto	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTWW
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.10.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Always Ready	9:0 ✺
22.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
09.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	2:0
27.09.25	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	1:2
16.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	3:1
17.12.24	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	1:1
14.09.24	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	1:3
13.03.24	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	4:1
03.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	1:0

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