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Current Win Probability
Aurora 55.5%
Draw 23.7%
Nacional Potosí 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
22.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Aurora - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Aurora carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:31 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
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