Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 7

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Aurora		Real Oruro

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.55	4.55	4.35	Watch
	1.59	4.61	4.51
	1.57	4.59	4.77	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.4
	1.39	4.45	6.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	4.46 (4.46)	4.87 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
60.4%

Draw
20.7%

Real Oruro
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

20.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Aurora - Real Oruro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 5. Amarilla A. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Viviani L. 69. Terrazas A. 10. Ramallo R. 7. Ramos J.	25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 15. Castellon D. 23. Villegas Y. 29. Padilha Hallysson 48. Berrios J. 11. Fernandez A. 6. Rivera A. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C) 10. Quinonez A. 97. Porozo D. 19. Vallejos Y.
Substitutes
2. Aguada M. 20. Araujo J. 16. Barro L. 15. Cordova J. 27. Flores A. 11. Olivera D. 77. Pinedo F. 25. Rios A. 18. Rojas S. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 33. Troncoso Caiti E. 28. Vaca O.	94. Aguilera D. 18. Calle Y. 33. Gatti F. 32. Mendez R. 50. Montenegro J. 13. Pena I. (G) 8. Ribera C. 3. Soleto W. 37. Velez J.
Coaches
Umana G.	Colinas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Viviani L. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽, Quinonez A. (A),
34', Troncoso Caiti E. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Ramallo R. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Berrios J. 🟨,
53', Padilha Hallysson 🟨,
55', Amarilla A. 🟨,
56', Ramos J. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
57', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Ribera C. ↑,
68', Fernandez A. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
78', Porozo D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
78', Quinonez A. ↓, Mendez R. ↑,
79', Berrios J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
83', Altamirano S. ↓, Barro L. ↑,
83', Amarilla A. ↓, Olivera D. ↑,
85', Vidaurre I. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 14).

Aurora is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Oruro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	4	30
11	Real Oruro	20	6	3	11	32:50	-18	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.26	Aurora - Guabirá	4:2 ✺
27.04.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	GVCD San José - Aurora	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Aurora - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Potosí - Aurora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTTT
- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.05.26	Real Potosí - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Real Oruro - The Strongest	2:3 ✺
23.04.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Oruro	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Real Oruro - Blooming	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Bolívar - Real Oruro	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.25	Real Oruro - Aurora	5:3
25.04.25	Aurora - Real Oruro	2:2

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