Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday
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Aurrerá de Vitoria |
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San Ignacio |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.22 |
2.98 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.17 |
3.02 |
3.13 |
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2.54 |
2.53 |
3.42 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
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2.19 |
3.02 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.55) |
2.87 ↓
(3.2) |
3.19 ↑
(2.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aurrerá de Vitoria
39.8% | Draw
31.7% | San Ignacio
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Ignacio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Ignacio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Aurrerá de Vitoria - San Ignacio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).Recent form of Aurrerá de Vitoria has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).San Ignacio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
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| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 | | | 21.12.25 | San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria | 3:1 | | 28.01.23 | Aurrerá de Vitoria - San Ignacio | 0:1 | | 24.09.22 | San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria | 0:1 |
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