Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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San Ignacio |
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Aretxabaleta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.88 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
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1.92 |
3.1 |
3.65 |
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1.91 |
3.27 |
3.71 |
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1.92 |
3.34 |
3.75 |
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1.91 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
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1.9 |
3.25 |
3.84 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.91) |
3.24 ↓ (3.28) |
3.66 ↓ (3.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Ignacio 47.4% | Draw 27.9% | Aretxabaleta 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.San Ignacio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. San Ignacio will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, San Ignacio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
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| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;