Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
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Durango |
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San Ignacio |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.22 |
3.02 |
3.29 |
|
 |
2.21 |
3.06 |
3.27 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.19 |
2.96 |
3.26 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.2) |
2.97 ↑
(2.95) |
3.24 ↓
(3.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Durango
41.4% | Draw
30.6% | San Ignacio
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Durango - San Ignacio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durango won 3.Durango has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).San Ignacio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Durango could have a small edge in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Durango won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Durango won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
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| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 | | | 16.11.25 | San Ignacio - Durango | 0:1 | | 03.05.25 | San Ignacio - Durango | 0:0 | | 21.12.24 | Durango - San Ignacio | 3:1 | | 14.01.24 | Durango - San Ignacio | 2:1 | | 21.01.23 | San Ignacio - Durango | 2:1 | | 17.09.22 | Durango - San Ignacio | 1:3 | | 23.02.22 | San Ignacio - Durango | 1:1 |
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