Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Basconia

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.83
	3.75	3.15	1.82
	3.78	3.25	1.87
	4.14	3.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.24)	3.15 ↑ (3.07)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
23%

Draw
28.6%

Basconia
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

28.5%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

27.2%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs)).

Aurrerá Ondarroa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basconia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Basconia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.10.22	Padura - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Anaitasuna - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:4 ✺
24.09.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.10.22	Lagun Onak - Basconia	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Basconia - Urduliz	4:3 ✺
02.10.22	Barakaldo - Basconia	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Basconia - Deusto	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Basconia - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.04.22	Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:2
08.12.21	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Basconia	2:0

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