Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 12

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Leioa		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.27	5.38
	1.61	3.27	5.38
	1.53	3.54	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	5.64 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
57.3%

Draw
26.7%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Leioa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aurrerá Ondarroa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leioa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leioa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Basconia - Leioa	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Leioa - Añorga	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Alavés C - Leioa	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Leioa - Deusto	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Urduliz - Leioa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWLW
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Pasaia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Padura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.01.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Leioa	1:1
18.09.22	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:1
15.01.22	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0

Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide