Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Basconia		Deusto

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.46	4.2	5.6
	1.46	4.15	6.09
	1.45	4.05	6.07
	1.46	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	4.14 ↓ (4.19)	5.77 ↓ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
62.3%

Draw
21.9%

Deusto
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Basconia - Deusto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Basconia is the clear favorite.

We predict that Basconia will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Basconia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.04.25	Durango - Basconia	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Basconia - Urduliz	8:0 ✺
06.04.25	Basconia - Alavés C	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Derio - Basconia	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Basconia - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWWT
- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.04.25	Deusto - Leioa	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Aretxabaleta - Deusto	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Deusto - San Viator	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Portugalete - Deusto	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Deusto - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.12.24	Deusto - Basconia	1:0
14.04.24	Basconia - Deusto	2:0
25.11.23	Deusto - Basconia	1:1
28.01.23	Deusto - Basconia	2:1
24.09.22	Basconia - Deusto	1:1
20.03.22	Basconia - Deusto	1:1
13.11.21	Deusto - Basconia	2:0

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