The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin FC 39.7%
Draw 26.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.6%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.9%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
15.4%
15.4%
Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Torres F. 20. Dubersarsky N. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 30. Rosales J. 21. Ramirez C. 10. Uzuni M.
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 2. Yamane M. 15. Haak J. 4. Yoshida M. 3. Aude J. 8. Sanabria L. 19. Cuevas M. 6. Cerrillo E. 11. Gabriel Pec 18. Reus M. 27. Thommy E.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 3. Desler M. 35. Djordjevic M. 19. Fodrey C. 12. Las D. (G) 7. Nelson J. 8. Pereira D. 14. Sabovic B. 16. Taylor R.
25. Garces C. 99. Joao Klauss 1. Micovic N. (G) 26. Miller H. 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 24. Ramos R. 20. Rindov C. 22. Wynder E.
Coaches
Estevez N.
Vanney G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Cuevas M. 🟨,
30', Sanchez I. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Yoshida M. ⚽, Reus M. (A),
42', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Sabovic B. 🟨,
61', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
61', Gallagher J. ↓, Desler M. ↑,
62', Sanabria L. ↓, Joao Klauss ↑,
62', Yamane M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
71', Aude J. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
72', Reus M. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
75', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Thommy E. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
78', Ramirez C. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
79', Rosales J. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
83', Gabriel Pec ↓, Miller H. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Uzuni M. ⚽,
89', Marcinkowski J. 🟨,
90+4', Desler M. 🟨,
90+4', Thommy E. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
Recent performances by Austin have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
LA Galaxy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Austin: Pereira D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
Wolff O.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Glesnes J.
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Nascimento
(Injury)
Paintsil J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
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Stuver B. (G) 
Gallagher J. 
Svatok O. 
Guilherme Biro 
Torres F. 
Dubersarsky N. 
Sanchez I. (C) 
Rosales J. 
Uzuni M. 
Yamane M. 
Reus M. 
Bell J. 
Desler M. 
Djordjevic M. 
Nelson J. 
Pereira D. 
Sabovic B. 
Taylor R. 
Garces C. 
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