Match Info

MLS

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	14:30	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
International	19:30	Apple TV International


	Austin FC		DC United

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.95	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3.51	4.26
	1.88	3.65	4.06	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.95	3.55	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)	3.49 ↓ (3.62)	4 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
49.5%

Draw
27%

DC United
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Austin FC - DC United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - DC United (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - DC United (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 50%). DC United (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. 29. Guilherme Biro 6. Sanchez I. (C) 8. Pereira D. 30. Rosales J. 11. Torres F. 7. Nelson J. 10. Uzuni M.	1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 8. Stroud J. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 77. Kijima H. 7. Peglow 9. Baribo T.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 35. Djordjevic M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 21. Ramirez C. 14. Sabovic B. 38. Torres E.	12. Antley C. 26. Bono A. (G) 10. Gabriel Pirani 25. Hopkins J. 27. Markovic N. 11. Munteanu L. 17. Murrell J. 13. Nealis S. 48. Turner G.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Weiler R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Stroud J. 🟨,
29', Torres F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kijima H. ↓, Gabriel Pirani ↑,
46', Stroud J. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
67', Sanchez I. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
68', Nelson J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
77', Peglow ↓, Munteanu L. ↑,
77', Rosales J. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
79', Pereira D. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Ramirez C. ⚽,
87', Sabovic B. 🟨,
90', Torres F. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
90', Servania B. ↓, Markovic N. ↑,
90+3', Kurokawa K. 🟨,
90+6', Gabriel Pirani 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Austin is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Austin: Desler M. (Groin Injury) Vazquez B. (Knee Injury) Wolff O. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Karamoko H. (Illness) Segal G. (Leg Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of MLS for now

Austin FC: 0.53% DC United: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
21.02.26	Austin FC - Minnesota United	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
MLS
02.11.25	Austin FC - Los Angeles	1:4 ✺
29.10.25	Los Angeles - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- DC United
MLS
21.02.26	DC United - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Portland Timbers - DC United	0:0 ✺
MLS
18.10.25	Atlanta United - DC United	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	DC United - Charlotte	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	DC United - Philadelphia Union	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
26.07.25	DC United - Austin FC	2:4
04.10.23	Austin FC - DC United	3:0
16.04.22	DC United - Austin FC	2:3

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