Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	FC Dallas		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.20	4.50	Watch
	1.63	4.00	4.60
	1.66	4.10	4.40
	1.70	4.27	4.90
	1.76	4.08	4.17	Watch
	1.65	4.20	4.85
	1.70	4.27	4.58	Watch
	1.67	4.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	4.55 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
56.5%

Draw
22.8%

Austin FC
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

FC Dallas - Austin FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 18. Moore S. 3. Urhoghide O. 25. Ibeagha S. 6. Binyamin R. 17. Ramiro (C) 12. Cappis C. 77. Kamungo B. 21. Valiente J. 55. Kaick 9. Musa P.	1. Stuver B. (C) 3. Desler M. 5. Svatok O. 23. Kolmanic Z. 30. Rosales J. 38. Torres E. 14. Sabovic B. 17. Gallagher J. 11. Torres F. 24. Alastuey J. 21. Ramirez C.
Substitutes
5. Abubakar L. 8. Delgado P. 23. Farrington L. 33. Holstad C. 14. Johansson H. 10. Moreno S. 32. Norris N. 28. Sarver S. 40. Sirois J. (G)	22. Applewhite C. 15. Bell J. 32. Burton M. 35. Djordjevic M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 12. Las D. (G) 6. Sanchez I. 10. Uzuni M. 9. Vazquez B.
Coaches
Quill E.	Arnaud D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Desler M. 🟨,
35', Moore S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Rosales J. 🟨,
64', Alastuey J. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
64', Ramirez C. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
64', Binyamin R. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
64', Cappis C. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
72', Sabovic B. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
72', Rosales J. ↓, Hines-Ike B. ↑,
81', Valiente J. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
86', Desler M. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
87', Kamungo B. ↓, Sarver S. ↑,
90+7', Ramiro 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Dallas is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Austin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Dallas is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Dallas has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:21 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dallas against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:7 goals (averaging 2:0.9 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

FC Dallas: 4.03% Austin FC: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
12.09.26	FC Dallas - Portland Timbers	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	FC Dallas - Sporting Kansas City	4:3 ✺
30.08.26	St. Louis City - FC Dallas	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - FC Dallas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTL
- Austin FC
MLS
13.09.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Austin FC - Colorado Rapids	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
26.08.26	Toluca - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
16.08.26	Austin FC - FC Dallas	1:2
13.09.25	FC Dallas - Austin FC	2:0
16.08.25	Austin FC - FC Dallas	1:1
17.07.24	FC Dallas - Austin FC	3:1
11.05.24	FC Dallas - Austin FC	2:1
30.03.24	Austin FC - FC Dallas	2:1
26.08.23	FC Dallas - Austin FC	1:0

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