The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 40.7%
Draw 25.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps 34.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.8%
25%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
24.6%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 21. Polvara D. 32. Baumgartl T. 27. Fall F. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 19. Holse C. 9. Rafael Navarro 23. Matan A.
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 2. Laborda M. 6. Priso R. 28. Johnson T. 8. Larraz O. 20. Cubas A. 11. Sabbi E. 25. Gauld R. (C) 77. Diaby Y. 24. White B.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 42. Downs D. 77. Jeong S. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 99. Orozco J. 7. Ostrak T. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos
32. Boehmer I. (G) 14. Caicedo B. 23. Cvetkovic A. 41. Djordjevic N. 19. Elloumi R. 29. Gherasimencov M. 70. Modesto R. 7. Sabaly C. 4. Veselinovic R.
Coaches
Damet Y.
Sorensen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Wallem C. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
45+1', Fall F. 🟨,
45+2', Ocampo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Sabbi E. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
70', Rafael Navarro ↓, Becher S. ↑,
77', White B. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
77', Larraz O. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
81', Priso R. 🟨,
85', Matan A. 🟨,
89', Durkin C. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
St. Louis City arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Vancouver has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
St. Louis City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vancouver has had a run of games away from home.
St. Louis City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Vancouver: Adekugbe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Badwal J.
(Injury)
Blackmon T.
(Red Card)
Cabrera Nakamura K. G.
(Foot Injury)
Halbouni B.
(Knee Injury)
Muller T.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for St. Louis City: Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:16 (averaging 1.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Louis City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
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Burki R. (C) 
Polvara D. 
Baumgartl T. 
Fall F. 
Wallem C. 
Holse C. 
Rafael Navarro 
Matan A. 
Takaoka Y. (G) 
Ocampo E. 
Laborda M. 
Priso R. 
Cubas A. 
Gauld R. (C) 
Diaby Y. 
Jeong S. 
Ostrak T. 
Caicedo B. 
Cvetkovic A. 
Elloumi R. 
Gherasimencov M. 
Modesto R. 
Damet Y. 
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