The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin II 56.1%
Draw 23%
Minnesota United 2 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
25%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
23.8%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Austin II - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Austin II will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lauta E. (G) 3. Dobruna D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 10. Alastuey J. (C) 24. Hot K. 8. Gonzalez A. 7. Abarca D. 9. Danciutiu V. 37. Feliciano L.
94. Rizvanovich K. (C) 35. Tarnue P. 97. Clarkson J. 59. Farris J. 61. Bernard J. 92. Kabia A. 90. Pechota L. 36. Friedman J. 71. Kibisu J. 32. Putt T. 29. Dieng M.
Substitutes
48. Ayala C. 20. Badawiya M. 23. Che N. 15. Dashkovets A. 21. Dobrijevic S. 1. Farrar C. (G) 11. Gryczewski P. 22. Sall I. 50. Wright D.
41. Angelovski L. 62. Bojang M. 75. Cruz H. 39. Hille L. 49. Orta Ruiz J. 44. Porter G. 66. Schauf B. 95. Vigilante S. 54. Witte A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Dieng M. ⚽, Friedman J. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Alastuey J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Alastuey J. ⚽,
45+5', Putt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bernard J. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
56', Hot K. 🟨,
61', Kibisu J. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Hille L. ⚽,
66', Bery J. ↓, Dashkovets A. ↑,
66', Feliciano L. ↓, Dobrijevic S. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
71', Danciutiu V. ↓, Sall I. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Dieng M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Hot K. ↓, Badawiya M. ↑,
81', Friedman J. ↓, Vigilante S. ↑,
87', Putt T. ↓, Schauf B. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 2.
Austin II is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Minnesota 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Austin II is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Austin II will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).