The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 31.3%
Draw 26.6%
Austin II 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
25.6%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
28%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United 2's form might have worsened.
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Minnesota United 2 - Austin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Bite K. (G) 32. Putt T. (C) 31. Dang N. 97. Clarkson J. 59. Farris J. 90. Pechota L. 92. Kabia A. 50. Harwood M. 36. Friedman J. 22. Caldeira M. 17. Randell D.
13. Lauta E. (G) 14. Ciesla D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 3. Dobruna D. 10. Alastuey J. (C) 6. Barro D. 38. Torres E. 32. Burton M. 22. Sall I. 37. Feliciano L.
Substitutes
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 61. Bernard J. 62. Bojang M. 75. Cruz H. 51. Grulke C. 70. Moua N. 84. Osagie N. 46. Perkins K. (G) 64. Saidi I.
7. Abarca D. 20. Badawiya M. 18. Cayelli P. 9. Danciutiu V. 15. Dashkovets A. 21. Dobrijevic S. 1. Farrar C. (G) 24. Hot K. 16. Ruszel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Torres E. ⚽, Ciesla D. (A),
6', 0 - 2, Burton M. ⚽, Sall I. (A),
19', Kabia A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 2, Pechota L. ⚽,
35', 1 - 3, Feliciano L. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
45+1', Burton M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Harwood M. ↓, Bojang M. ↑,
46', Dobruna D. ↓, Cayelli P. ↑,
56', Ciesla D. 🟨,
61', Burton M. ↓, Dobrijevic S. ↑,
61', Feliciano L. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
66', Barro D. 🟨,
66', Putt T. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
66', Friedman J. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
71', Sall I. ↓, Danciutiu V. ↑,
76', Danciutiu V. 🟨,
82', Pechota L. ↓, Grulke C. ↑,
84', Randell D. ↓, Osagie N. ↑,
90+3', Alastuey J. ↓, Badawiya M. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 4.
Minnesota 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Austin II is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Minnesota United 2 - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Bite K. (G) 
Putt T. (C) 
Dang N. 
Kabia A. 
Caldeira M. 
Ciesla D. 
Bery J. 
Dobruna D. 
Alastuey J. (C) 
Barro D. 
Sall I. 
Osagie N. 
Danciutiu V. 
Dashkovets A. 
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