The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 47.4%
Draw 24.2%
Tacoma Defiance 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
24.6%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
25.7%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Perkins K. (G) 52. Maynes S. 62. Bojang M. 59. Farris J. 61. Bernard J. 36. Friedman J. 71. Kibisu J. 90. Pechota L. 50. Harwood M. 75. Cruz H. 32. Putt T.
41. Shour M. (C) 62. Emert M. 53. Sandnes G. 58. Winslow J. 84. Gaffney C. 40. O'Neill M. 32. Gnaulati X. 48. Phoenix C. 30. Carli E. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.
Substitutes
45. Dennis T. 39. Hille L. 49. Orta Ruiz J. 66. Schauf B. 60. Zeruhn K. (G)
80. Brown D. 78. Dale J. 79. Gonzalez L. 43. Hassan O. 99. Lucero L. 34. Robles D. 65. Smith B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Maynes S. ↓, Schauf B. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Putt T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Bronnik M. ⚽, Gaffney C. (A),
45+2', Emert M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Gnaulati X. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
62', Jauregui R. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Carli E. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Gaffney C. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
75', Cruz H. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
80', Kibisu J. 🟨,
83', Kibisu J. ↓, Orta Ruiz J. ↑,
83', Friedman J. ↓, Dennis T. ↑,
85', Bronnik M. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
85', Carli E. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Orta Ruiz J. ⚽, Farris J. (A),
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, Hille L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, O'Neill M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Putt T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Smith B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Farris J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pechota L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 2.
Minnesota 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tacoma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of home games.
Minnesota 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.1:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
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Perkins K. (G) 
Putt T. 
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