The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 2 51.9%
Draw 23.1%
Minnesota United 2 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
24%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
21.6%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Houston Dynamo 2 - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Erb L. (G) 23. Barrett D. 15. Vitor Andre 4. Ukaegbu C. 27. Miller R. 17. Herrera D. 8. Gustavo Dohmann (C) 44. Gardner M. 33. Dimareli M. 11. Bell J. 7. Brummett A.
94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 97. Clarkson J. 31. Dang N. (C) 59. Farris J. 95. Vigilante S. 92. Kabia A. 90. Pechota L. 75. Cruz H. 33. Chandler K. 99. Adebayo-Smith J. 17. Randell D.
Substitutes
16. Alan 9. Arthur Sousa 14. Betancourt N. 46. Cottle T. 24. Jiana M. 43. Kerimov R. (G) 39. Mohammad S. 47. Perez J. 12. Silva V.
36. Friedman J. 50. Harwood M. 39. Hille L. 48. Maynes W. 46. Perkins K. (G) 38. Romanshyn K. 64. Saidi I. 35. Tarnue P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', 🟨,
45+1', Pechota L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vigilante S. ↓, Tarnue P. ↑,
46', Cruz H. ↓, Friedman J. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Adebayo-Smith J. ⚽,
61', Brummett A. ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
61', Miller R. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
61', Gardner M. ↓, Cottle T. ↑,
66', Adebayo-Smith J. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
66', Pechota L. ↓, Harwood M. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Hille L. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Dimareli M. ↓, Mohammad S. ↑,
80', Dang N. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
84', Mohammad S. 🟨,
87', Vitor Andre ↓, Alan ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Houston Dynamo 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 2.
Houston Dynamo 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Minnesota 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Minnesota 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Houston Dynamo 2 is considered a favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 2.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dynamo 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).
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Erb L. (G) 
Vitor Andre 
Bell J. 
Kabia A. 
Perez J. 
Tarnue P. 
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