Match Info

AUSTRIA: Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Lavanttal-Arena (Wolfsberg)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport


	Wolfsberger		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.25
	1.68	3.75	5	Watch
	1.72	3.66	5.44
	1.72	3.66	5.44
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.64	3.85	5.6	Watch
	1.7	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	3.72 ↓ (4.14)	5.28 ↓ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsberger
56.7%

Draw
25.4%

Austria Lustenau
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.1%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsberger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wolfsberger will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Austria Lustenau will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsberger: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Veratschnig N. 5. Diabate C. 22. Baumgartner D. 3. Scherzer J. 26. Ibertsberger L. 6. Tijani S. 19. Altunashvili S. 97. Jasic A. 9. Zimmermann B. 12. Karamoko S.	27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 3. Boateng K. 13. Lins M. 25. Chato P. 6. Grujcic D. 20. Gorzel N. 23. Grabher P. (C) 19. Bobzien B. 10. Fridrikas L. 22. Diaby Y.
Substitutes
32. Gutlbauer L. (G) 16. Leitgeb M. 44. Omic E. 8. Piesinger S. 23. Rieder F. 18. Rocher T. 10. Sabitzer T.	4. Berger T. 15. Cisse N. 21. Helac A. (G) 5. Matzler L. 12. Mikic L. 70. Surdanovic S. 33. Tiefenbach D.
Coaches
Schmid M.	Heraf A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Jasic A. ⚽, Altunashvili S. (A),
38', Jasic A. 🟨,
41', Chato P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Fridrikas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gorzel N. ↓, Surdanovic S. ↑,
46', Chato P. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,
55', Lins M. 🟨,
57', Mikic L. ↓, Cisse N. ↑,
59', Bobzien B. 🟨,
65', Karamoko S. ↓, Rocher T. ↑,
66', Grujcic D. ↓, Berger T. ↑,
77', Grabher P. 🟨,
77', Diaby Y. ↓, Tiefenbach D. ↑,
82', Zimmermann B. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
85', Rocher T. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
86', Baumgartner D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsberger won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Wolfsberger is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wolfsberger won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsberger won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
13.04.24	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Blau-Weiss Linz - Wolfsberger	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Wolfsberger - Rheindorf Altach	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Wolfsberger - Rheindorf Altach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTTT
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian Bundesliga
13.04.24	Austria Lustenau - Rheindorf Altach	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Austria Lustenau - Swarovski Tirol	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Blau-Weiss Linz - Austria Lustenau	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Austria Lustenau - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
11.11.23	Austria Lustenau - Wolfsberger	2:3
12.08.23	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	1:1
05.06.23	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	1:2 ET
13.05.23	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	2:2
15.04.23	Austria Lustenau - Wolfsberger	1:3
12.03.23	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	0:1
01.10.22	Austria Lustenau - Wolfsberger	1:3

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