Match Info

AUSTRIA: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Planet Pure Stadion (Lustenau)

Referee: Pfister D. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Austria Lustenau		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4	Watch
				Watch
	7	5	1.4	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.43
	7.2	5.15	1.43
	7	4.6	1.35
	6.6	4.85	1.42	Watch
	6.8	5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↑ (5.48)	4.91 ↑ (4.08)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Lustenau
13.7%

Draw
19.2%

Rapid Wien
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

22.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.2%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapid Wien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapid Wien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Austria Lustenau - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Austria Lustenau will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rapid will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapid: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 4. Berger T. 8. Rhein T. 2. Moltenis B. 19. Bobzien B. 23. Grabher P. 28. Anderson 70. Surdanovic S. 20. Schmid J. 9. Baden Frederiksen N.	45. Hedl N. (G) 6. Kasanwirjo N. 43. Querfeld L. 20. Hofmann M. 23. Auer J. 34. Sattlberger N. 5. Kerschbaum R. 10. Kuhn N. 18. Seidl M. 27. Grull M. 17. Mayulu F.
Substitutes
15. Cisse N. 22. Diaby Y. 6. Grujcic D. 21. Helac A. (G) 5. Matzler L. 30. Rafael Devisate 33. Tiefenbach D.	16. Gale T. 25. Gartler P. (G) 8. Grgic L. 15. Kongolo T. 28. Oswald M. 13. Schick T. 7. Strunz O.
Coaches
Mader M.	Barisic Z.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

Austria Lustenau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rapid is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rapid is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Austria Lustenau: Fridrikas L. (Injury)

There will not play in Rapid: Cvetkovic N. (Injury) Pejic A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Austria Lustenau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Austria Lustenau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Lustenau
Austrian Bundesliga
30.09.23	Austria Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.09.23	First Vienna - Austria Lustenau	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.09.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Austria Lustenau - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	LASK Linz - Austria Lustenau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
01.10.23	Austria Wien - Rapid Wien	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.09.23	Union Gurten - Rapid Wien	2:5 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
24.09.23	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Rapid Wien - Wolfsberger	3:3 ✺
03.09.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
29.10.22	Austria Lustenau - Rapid Wien	3:3
07.08.22	Rapid Wien - Austria Lustenau	1:1

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